Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Allen 70%, Livingstone 30% at Livingstone.
Allen's win probability against Livingstone has swung between 62% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.
Allen's win probability against Livingstone has swung between 68% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Allen's win probability against Livingstone has swung between 73% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.