Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's NAIA predictions →
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Friends 91%, Kansas Wesleyan 9% at Kansas Wesleyan.
Friends' win probability against Kansas Wesleyan has swung between 88% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
Friends' win probability against Kansas Wesleyan has held at 93% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Friends' win probability against Kansas Wesleyan has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.