Rochester at Ithaca Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Ithaca by 36.37
TOTAL POINTS
48
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's D3 predictions
RATINGS
Rochester
Ithaca 
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
94
A
|
|
78
C+
|
Defensive |
93
A-
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
84
B
|
|
79
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
78
C+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
RANKINGS
Rochester
Ithaca
| 118 #522 overall |
Overall | 43 #267 overall |
| 145 #650 overall |
Power | 28 #430 overall |
| 163 #675 overall |
Offensive | 29 #434 overall |
| 124 #613 overall |
Defensive | 35 #436 overall |
| 80 #448 overall |
SoS (Current) | 136 #580 overall |
| 81 #453 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 91 #481 overall |
Ithaca#4398%Rochester#1182%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Ithaca 98%, Rochester 2% at Ithaca.
Ithaca's win probability against Rochester is trending up — from 81% to 96% over the last 6 weeks.
Ithaca's win probability against Rochester is trending up — from 85% to 97% over the last 6 weeks.
Ithaca's win probability against Rochester is trending up — from 88% to 98% over the last 6 weeks.
Ithaca favored
Rochester favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Rochester | Neutral | At Ithaca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 1 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 2 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 4 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 89% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 6 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 8 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 9 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
RECORDS
Rochester
Ithaca
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Rochester
Ithaca
| #587 Morrisville St | Best Win | #288 Hobart |
| #340 St John Fisher | Worst Loss | #486 Johns Hopkins |
| 42 pts vs #733 Hilbert | Largest MOV | 70 pts vs #733 Hilbert |
| 36 pts vs #267 Ithaca | Largest MOD | 9 pts vs #486 Johns Hopkins |
OTHER STATISTICS
Rochester
Ithaca
| 19.7 | Points per Game | 41.1 |
| 23.3 | Points Against | 10.4 |
| 19.3 | Home PPG | 51.3 |
| 26.8 | Home PA | 2.3 |
| 20.3 | Away PPG | 27.7 |
| 18.7 | Away PA | 21.3 |
| 24-25 | Opponent Record | 16-33 |
| 444.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 511 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Rochester
Ithaca
| Oct 24 | vs RPI (5-2) | L7-41 | Oct 24 | at Union NY (3-4) | W35-14 |
| Oct 10 | at Ithaca (6-1) | L0-36 | Oct 10 | vs Rochester (3-4) | W36-0 |
| Oct 3 | vs Buffalo St (1-6) | W29-18 | Oct 3 | at Hobart (4-3) | W27-20 |
| Sep 26 | at Hilbert (0-7) | W48-6 | Sep 26 | vs St Lawrence (2-5) | W66-0 |
| Sep 19 | at St John Fisher (5-2) | L13-14 | Sep 19 | vs Hilbert (0-7) | W76-6 |
| Sep 12 | vs Morrisville St (1-6) | W21-10 | Sep 12 | vs Alfred (2-5) | W27-3 |
| Sep 4 | vs Case Western Reserve (6-1) | L20-38 | Sep 5 | at Johns Hopkins (2-5) | L21-30 |