Valparaiso at Indiana St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Indiana St by 26.51
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Valparaiso
Indiana St 
|
70
C-
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
92
A-
|
|
68
D+
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Current) |
84
B
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
RANKINGS
Valparaiso
Indiana St
| 95 #402 overall |
Overall | 66 #292 overall |
| 110 #283 overall |
Power | 30 #168 overall |
| 116 #316 overall |
Offensive | 23 #155 overall |
| 101 #261 overall |
Defensive | 40 #180 overall |
| 118 #368 overall |
SoS (Current) | 7 #113 overall |
| 114 #336 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 9 #131 overall |
Indiana St#6694%
Valparaiso#956%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Indiana St 94%, Valparaiso 6% at Indiana St.
Indiana St's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 71% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 89% now.
Indiana St's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 76% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
Indiana St's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 81% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 94% now.
Indiana St favored
Valparaiso favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Valparaiso | Neutral | At Indiana St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 1 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 2 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 3 | 85% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 5 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 6 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 7 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 8 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 9 | 89% | 91% | 94% |
RECORDS
Valparaiso
Indiana St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
2-6 (25%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
1-3 (25%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-5 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-5 (16.7%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-4 (20%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
Indiana St
| #394 Presbyterian | Best Win | #385 Eastern Illinois |
| #404 Murray St | Worst Loss | #171 SE Missouri St |
| 46 pts vs #589 Lawrence Tech | Largest MOV | 23 pts vs #402 Valparaiso |
| 25 pts vs #328 San Diego | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #72 Youngstown St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Valparaiso
Indiana St
| 27 | Points per Game | 25.5 |
| 21.6 | Points Against | 34.8 |
| 33 | Home PPG | 29.8 |
| 16.5 | Home PA | 34.5 |
| 21 | Away PPG | 21.3 |
| 26.8 | Away PA | 35 |
| 23-41 | Opponent Record | 39-26 |
| 401.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 178 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
Indiana St
| Oct 24 | vs Presbyterian (4-4) | W24-7 | Oct 24 | at Illinois St (6-2) | L10-17 |
| Oct 17 | at San Diego (3-5) | L13-38 | Oct 10 | vs Youngstown St (6-2) | L24-57 |
| Oct 10 | vs Drake (2-6) | W21-13 | Oct 3 | at South Dakota (7-2) | L14-44 |
| Oct 3 | at Morehead St (2-6) | W37-3 | Sep 26 | vs North Dakota (6-3) | L35-42 |
| Sep 26 | vs Butler (6-2) | L28-33 | Sep 19 | vs Valparaiso (4-4) | W39-16 |
| Sep 19 | at Indiana St (2-6) | L16-39 | Sep 12 | at Eastern Illinois (2-6) | W42-35 |
| Sep 12 | at Murray St (1-7) | L18-27 | Sep 4 | at Purdue (3-4) | L19-44 |
| Aug 29 | vs Lawrence Tech (3-5) | W59-13 | Aug 29 | vs SE Missouri St (5-3) | L21-23 |