Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Illinois 61%, Purdue 39% at Illinois.
Illinois' win probability against Purdue has swung between 32% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
Illinois' win probability against Purdue has swung between 38% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
Illinois' win probability against Purdue has swung between 44% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.