Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Oregon 65%, Illinois 35% at Illinois.
Oregon's win probability against Illinois has swung between 65% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Oregon's win probability against Illinois has swung between 71% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Oregon's win probability against Illinois has swung between 76% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.