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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Nebraska 66%, Illinois 34% at Illinois.
Nebraska's win probability against Illinois has swung between 60% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
Nebraska's win probability against Illinois has swung between 65% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Nebraska's win probability against Illinois has swung between 71% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.