Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Illinois 65%, Duke 35% at Illinois.
Illinois' win probability against Duke is trending up — from 42% to 53% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois' win probability against Duke is trending up — from 48% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois' win probability against Duke is trending up — from 54% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.