Alabama-Birmingham at Illinois Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Illinois by 24.62
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
UAB
Illinois 
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
69
D+
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
88
B+
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
94
A
|
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
RANKINGS
UAB
Illinois
| 95 #126 overall |
Overall | 39 #40 overall |
| 105 #110 overall |
Power | 39 #39 overall |
| 109 #118 overall |
Offensive | 39 #39 overall |
| 92 #93 overall |
Defensive | 45 #45 overall |
| 107 #114 overall |
SoS (Current) | 17 #17 overall |
| 101 #101 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 19 #19 overall |
Illinois#3992%
Alabama-Birmingham#958%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Illinois 92%, Alabama-Birmingham 8% at Illinois.
Illinois' win probability against Alabama-Birmingham has swung between 82% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 87% now.
Illinois' win probability against Alabama-Birmingham has swung between 85% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Illinois' win probability against Alabama-Birmingham has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois favored
Alabama-Birmingham favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Alabama-Birmingham | Neutral | At Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 1 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 3 | 85% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 5 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 6 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 7 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 8 | 82% | 85% | 89% |
| Wk 9 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
RECORDS
UAB
Illinois
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Home |
3-2 (60%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
UAB
Illinois
| #176 East Carolina | Best Win | #31 Oregon |
| #108 Louisiana-Lafayette | Worst Loss | #51 Duke |
| 19 pts vs #381 Samford | Largest MOV | 38 pts vs #180 Southern Illinois |
| 25 pts vs #62 Memphis | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #6 Ohio State |
OTHER STATISTICS
UAB
Illinois
| 23.3 | Points per Game | 30.3 |
| 24.6 | Points Against | 25.3 |
| 28.3 | Home PPG | 31 |
| 17.8 | Home PA | 19.6 |
| 16.7 | Away PPG | 28.5 |
| 33.7 | Away PA | 39.5 |
| 23-29 | Opponent Record | 28-24 |
| 178.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 76.7 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UAB
Illinois
| Oct 15 | vs East Carolina (3-4) | W30-17 | Oct 24 | vs Oregon (4-3) | W21-10 |
| Oct 10 | at Memphis (6-2) | L13-38 | Oct 10 | at Michigan St (2-6) | W38-37 |
| Oct 3 | vs Samford (2-6) | W33-14 | Oct 3 | vs Purdue (3-4) | L17-24 |
| Sep 25 | vs Navy (2-5) | W24-20 | Sep 26 | at #6 Ohio State (6-1) | L19-42 |
| Sep 19 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L14-21 | Sep 19 | vs Southern Illinois (4-5) | W48-10 |
| Sep 12 | vs Louisiana-Monroe (1-6) | W26-20 | Sep 12 | vs Duke (5-2) | L27-31 |
| Sep 3 | at Illinois (4-3) | L23-42 | Sep 3 | vs Alabama-Birmingham (4-3) | W42-23 |