Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Richmond 51%, Howard 49% at Howard.
Richmond's win probability against Howard has swung between 42% and 54% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
Richmond's win probability against Howard has swung between 48% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Richmond's win probability against Howard has swung between 55% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.