Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Hobart 86%, Alfred 14% at Hobart.
Hobart's win probability against Alfred has swung between 74% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.
Hobart's win probability against Alfred has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Hobart's win probability against Alfred has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.