Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Ursinus 84%, Gettysburg 16% at Gettysburg.
Ursinus' win probability against Gettysburg has swung between 68% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.
Ursinus' win probability against Gettysburg has swung between 73% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 87% now.
Ursinus' win probability against Gettysburg has swung between 78% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.