Boise St at Fresno St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Boise St by 10.03
TOTAL POINTS
50
UPDATED
Sunday, October 4, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Fresno St
Boise St 
|
88
B+
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
90
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
Defensive |
90
A-
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
83
B-
|
RANKINGS
Fresno St
Boise St
| 40 #40 overall |
Overall | 24 #24 overall |
| 77 #78 overall |
Power | 29 #29 overall |
| 81 #84 overall |
Offensive | 33 #33 overall |
| 57 #57 overall |
Defensive | 31 #31 overall |
| 86 #91 overall |
SoS (Current) | 16 #16 overall |
| 75 #75 overall |
SoS (Future) | 56 #56 overall |
Boise St#2472%
Fresno St#4028%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Boise St 72%, Fresno St 28% at Fresno St.
Boise St's win probability against Fresno St has swung between 64% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.
Boise St's win probability against Fresno St has swung between 69% and 82% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 77% now.
Boise St's win probability against Fresno St has swung between 75% and 86% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 81% now.
Boise St favored
Fresno St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Fresno St | Neutral | At Boise St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 62% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 64% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 77% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 68% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
RECORDS
Fresno St
Boise St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Overall |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Fresno St
Boise St
| #90 San Jose St | Best Win | #58 Memphis |
| #16 Southern Cal | Worst Loss | #10 Oregon |
| 46 pts vs #336 Sacramento St | Largest MOV | 25 pts vs #71 Western Michigan |
| 39 pts vs #16 Southern Cal | Largest MOD | 7 pts vs #10 Oregon |
OTHER STATISTICS
Fresno St
Boise St
| 27.8 | Points per Game | 34.4 |
| 16.4 | Points Against | 20.6 |
| 43.5 | Home PPG | 37.7 |
| 13.5 | Home PA | 20.7 |
| 17.3 | Away PPG | 29.5 |
| 18.3 | Away PA | 20.5 |
| 11-15 | Opponent Record | 15-10 |
| 167 | Avg Opponent Rank | 87.6 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 4 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Fresno St
Boise St
| Oct 3 | at Washington St (1-4) | W26-6 | Oct 3 | vs Utah St (1-4) | W37-18 |
| Sep 26 | vs Rice (1-4) | W38-24 | Sep 26 | at Western Michigan (3-2) | W32-7 |
| Sep 19 | at San Jose St (3-2) | W26-10 | Sep 19 | vs South Dakota (4-2) | W38-24 |
| Sep 12 | vs Sacramento St (1-4) | W49-3 | Sep 12 | vs Memphis (4-1) | W38-20 |
| Sep 4 | at #16 Southern Cal (5-1) | L0-39 | Sep 5 | at #10 Oregon (3-1) | L27-34 |