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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Duke 76%, Boston College 24% at Duke.
Duke's win probability against Boston College has swung between 64% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Duke's win probability against Boston College has swung between 70% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Duke's win probability against Boston College has swung between 75% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.