Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Dubuque 58%, McMurry 42% at Dubuque.
Dubuque's win probability against McMurry has swung between 15% and 50% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Dubuque's win probability against McMurry has swung between 19% and 56% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
Dubuque's win probability against McMurry has swung between 24% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.