Thomas More at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 33.56
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Thomas More
Dayton 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
69
D+
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
70
C-
|
Defensive |
70
C-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
72
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
71
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
Thomas MoreD2
DaytonFCS
| 117 #555 overall |
Overall | 33 #187 overall |
| 129 #468 overall |
Power | 99 #262 overall |
| 130 #480 overall |
Offensive | 100 #269 overall |
| 120 #443 overall |
Defensive | 96 #254 overall |
| 78 #402 overall |
SoS (Current) | 125 #413 overall |
| 65 #365 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 128 #446 overall |
DaytonFCS #3397%Thomas MoreD2 #1173%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Dayton 97%, Thomas More 3% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against Thomas More is trending up — from 89% to 95% over the last 6 weeks.
Dayton's win probability against Thomas More is trending up — from 91% to 96% over the last 6 weeks.
Dayton's win probability against Thomas More has swung between 89% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 97% now.
Dayton favored
Thomas More favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Thomas More | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 2 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 3 | 89% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 4 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 83% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 7 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 8 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 9 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
RECORDS
Thomas More
Dayton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Thomas More
Dayton
| #442 Walsh | Best Win | #175 Butler |
| #542 Wheeling U. | Worst Loss | #458 Drake |
| 3 pts vs #442 Walsh | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #572 Morehead St |
| 38 pts vs #489 Ashland | Largest MOD | 8 pts vs #458 Drake |
OTHER STATISTICS
Thomas More
Dayton
| 13.9 | Points per Game | 32 |
| 31.3 | Points Against | 20 |
| 17 | Home PPG | 41.5 |
| 34.5 | Home PA | 21.8 |
| 12.8 | Away PPG | 19.3 |
| 30.2 | Away PA | 17.7 |
| 35-28 | Opponent Record | 20-36 |
| 415.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 421.1 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Thomas More
Dayton
| Oct 24 | at Lake Erie (3-5) | W15-14 | Oct 24 | vs San Diego (3-5) | W37-32 |
| Oct 17 | vs Ashland (3-5) | L10-48 | Oct 17 | at Butler (6-2) | W19-9 |
| Oct 10 | at Ohio Dominican (4-4) | L24-34 | Oct 10 | vs Morehead St (2-6) | W56-28 |
| Oct 3 | vs Walsh (4-4) | W24-21 | Oct 3 | at Drake (2-6) | L22-30 |
| Sep 26 | at Hillsdale (5-3) | L7-38 | Sep 19 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-5) | W17-14 |
| Sep 19 | at Tiffin (6-2) | L14-38 | Sep 12 | vs Thomas More (2-6) | W30-7 |
| Sep 12 | at Dayton (6-1) | L7-30 | Aug 29 | vs Fairmont St (2-6) | W43-20 |
| Aug 29 | at Wheeling U. (4-4) | L10-27 |