Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Connecticut 97%, Lafayette 3% at Connecticut.
Connecticut's win probability against Lafayette has swung between 79% and 95% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 95% now.
Connecticut's win probability against Lafayette has swung between 83% and 96% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 96% now.
Connecticut's win probability against Lafayette has swung between 87% and 97% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 97% now.