Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Columbia 55%, Lafayette 45% at Columbia.
Columbia's win probability against Lafayette has swung between 43% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 43% now.
Columbia's win probability against Lafayette has swung between 49% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
Columbia's win probability against Lafayette has swung between 55% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.