Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Mercer 53%, Chattanooga 47% at Chattanooga.
Mercer's win probability against Chattanooga has swung between 42% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Mercer's win probability against Chattanooga has swung between 48% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Mercer's win probability against Chattanooga has swung between 55% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.