Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 8 (Oct 18), 2026-27: Carnegie Mellon 69%, Muhlenberg 31% at Carnegie Mellon.
Carnegie Mellon's win probability against Muhlenberg has swung between 49% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Carnegie Mellon's win probability against Muhlenberg has swung between 55% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Carnegie Mellon's win probability against Muhlenberg has swung between 61% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.