Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Bethel MN 96%, Carleton 4% at Carleton.
Bethel MN's win probability against Carleton is trending up — from 93% to 96% over the last 6 updates.
Bethel MN's win probability against Carleton has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Bethel MN's win probability against Carleton has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.