Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Cal Lutheran 88%, Puget Sound 12% at Cal Lutheran.
Cal Lutheran's win probability against Puget Sound has swung between 81% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.
Cal Lutheran's win probability against Puget Sound has swung between 85% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.
Cal Lutheran's win probability against Puget Sound has swung between 88% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 88% now.