Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Cal Lutheran 53%, Pomona-Pitzer 47% at Cal Lutheran.
Cal Lutheran's win probability against Pomona-Pitzer is trending down — from 46% to 40% over the last 6 updates.
Cal Lutheran's win probability against Pomona-Pitzer is trending down — from 52% to 46% over the last 6 updates.
Cal Lutheran's win probability against Pomona-Pitzer is trending down — from 58% to 53% over the last 6 updates.