Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Chapman 73%, Cal Lutheran 27% at Cal Lutheran.
Chapman's win probability against Cal Lutheran has swung between 70% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Chapman's win probability against Cal Lutheran has swung between 75% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Chapman's win probability against Cal Lutheran has swung between 80% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.