Ithaca at Buffalo St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Ithaca by 58.27
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's D3 predictions
RATINGS
Buffalo St
Ithaca 
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
94
A
|
|
62
D-
|
Defensive |
93
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
84
B
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
RANKINGS
Buffalo St
Ithaca
| 192 #673 overall |
Overall | 43 #267 overall |
| 215 #742 overall |
Power | 28 #430 overall |
| 209 #737 overall |
Offensive | 29 #434 overall |
| 220 #746 overall |
Defensive | 35 #436 overall |
| 98 #490 overall |
SoS (Current) | 136 #580 overall |
| 72 #437 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 91 #481 overall |
Ithaca#4399%Buffalo St#1921%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Ithaca 99%, Buffalo St 1% at Buffalo St.
Ithaca's win probability against Buffalo St has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ithaca's win probability against Buffalo St has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ithaca's win probability against Buffalo St has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ithaca favored
Buffalo St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Buffalo St | Neutral | At Ithaca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 1 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 2 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 8 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 9 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
RECORDS
Buffalo St
Ithaca
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Buffalo St
Ithaca
| #733 Hilbert | Best Win | #288 Hobart |
| #619 Hartwick | Worst Loss | #486 Johns Hopkins |
| 12 pts vs #733 Hilbert | Largest MOV | 70 pts vs #733 Hilbert |
| 68 pts vs #212 Brockport St | Largest MOD | 9 pts vs #486 Johns Hopkins |
OTHER STATISTICS
Buffalo St
Ithaca
| 13 | Points per Game | 41.1 |
| 47.3 | Points Against | 10.4 |
| 15.3 | Home PPG | 51.3 |
| 41.3 | Home PA | 2.3 |
| 11.3 | Away PPG | 27.7 |
| 51.8 | Away PA | 21.3 |
| 23-26 | Opponent Record | 16-33 |
| 461.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 511 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Buffalo St
Ithaca
| Oct 24 | vs Hilbert (0-7) | W39-27 | Oct 24 | at Union NY (3-4) | W35-14 |
| Oct 10 | vs RPI (5-2) | L0-56 | Oct 10 | vs Rochester (3-4) | W36-0 |
| Oct 3 | at Rochester (3-4) | L18-29 | Oct 3 | at Hobart (4-3) | W27-20 |
| Sep 26 | at Union NY (3-4) | L14-63 | Sep 26 | vs St Lawrence (2-5) | W66-0 |
| Sep 19 | vs Alfred St (5-2) | L7-41 | Sep 19 | vs Hilbert (0-7) | W76-6 |
| Sep 12 | at Hartwick (1-6) | L13-47 | Sep 12 | vs Alfred (2-5) | W27-3 |
| Sep 3 | at Brockport St (6-1) | L0-68 | Sep 5 | at Johns Hopkins (2-5) | L21-30 |