Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Simpson IA 94%, Buena Vista 6% at Buena Vista.
Simpson IA's win probability against Buena Vista has swung between 92% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 94% now.
Simpson IA's win probability against Buena Vista has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Simpson IA's win probability against Buena Vista has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.