Tarleton St at Bowling Green Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Bowling Green by 0.25
TOTAL POINTS
59
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Bowling Green
Tarleton 
|
66
D
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
62
D-
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
63
D-
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
|
62
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
62
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
Bowling GreenFBS
TarletonFCS
| 118 #219 overall |
Overall | 6 #75 overall |
| 131 #144 overall |
Power | 9 #137 overall |
| 131 #152 overall |
Offensive | 7 #115 overall |
| 128 #138 overall |
Defensive | 28 #160 overall |
| 77 #77 overall |
SoS (Current) | 103 #289 overall |
| 77 #77 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 68 #215 overall |
Bowling GreenFBS #11851%
Tarleton StFCS #649%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Bowling Green 51%, Tarleton St 49% at Bowling Green.
Bowling Green's win probability against Tarleton St has swung between 20% and 45% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 38% now.
Bowling Green's win probability against Tarleton St has swung between 25% and 52% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 44% now.
Bowling Green's win probability against Tarleton St has swung between 30% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
Bowling Green favored
Tarleton St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Tarleton St | Neutral | At Bowling Green |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 1 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 2 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 3 | 28% | 34% | 39% |
| Wk 4 | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Wk 5 | 26% | 32% | 37% |
| Wk 6 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 7 | 45% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 8 | 44% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 9 | 38% | 44% | 51% |
RECORDS
Bowling Green
Tarleton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
8-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
4-0 (100%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Bowling Green
Tarleton
| #115 Miami OH | Best Win | #133 Austin Peay |
| #156 Ball St | Worst Loss | None |
| 28 pts vs #432 Sacramento St | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #506 West Georgia |
| 49 pts vs #36 Nebraska | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
Bowling Green
Tarleton
| 18.8 | Points per Game | 41.9 |
| 29.8 | Points Against | 22.6 |
| 22 | Home PPG | 49.8 |
| 19 | Home PA | 26.5 |
| 15.5 | Away PPG | 34 |
| 40.5 | Away PA | 18.8 |
| 35-26 | Opponent Record | 23-43 |
| 132.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 347 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 8 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Bowling Green
Tarleton
| Oct 24 | at Buffalo (5-3) | L24-31 | Oct 24 | at West Georgia (1-7) | W49-6 |
| Oct 17 | vs Ball St (3-5) | L31-32 | Oct 17 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W49-35 |
| Oct 10 | vs Sacramento St (1-7) | W38-10 | Oct 10 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | W40-32 |
| Oct 3 | at Miami OH (5-3) | W24-20 | Oct 3 | vs Chicago St (1-7) | W56-21 |
| Sep 26 | vs South Florida (5-2) | L6-14 | Sep 19 | vs Merrimack (3-5) | W45-20 |
| Sep 19 | at Iowa St (3-4) | L7-55 | Sep 12 | at McNeese St (3-5) | W27-24 |
| Sep 12 | at Nebraska (5-2) | L7-56 | Sep 5 | at Bowling Green (2-6) | W20-13 |
| Sep 5 | vs Tarleton St (8-0) | L13-20 | Aug 29 | vs Prairie View A&M (4-5) | W49-30 |