Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Boise St 92%, South Dakota 8% at Boise St.
Boise St's win probability against South Dakota has swung between 80% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.
Boise St's win probability against South Dakota has swung between 84% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 89% now.
Boise St's win probability against South Dakota has swung between 87% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.