Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Ball St 83%, Stony Brook 17% at Ball St.
Ball St's win probability against Stony Brook has swung between 53% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.
Ball St's win probability against Stony Brook has swung between 59% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.
Ball St's win probability against Stony Brook has swung between 65% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 83% now.