Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Buffalo 53%, Ball St 47% at Ball St.
Buffalo's win probability against Ball St has swung between 35% and 54% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Buffalo's win probability against Ball St has swung between 41% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Buffalo's win probability against Ball St has swung between 48% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.