Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Kansas Wesleyan 80%, Avila 20% at Avila.
Kansas Wesleyan's win probability against Avila has swung between 77% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.
Kansas Wesleyan's win probability against Avila has swung between 81% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.
Kansas Wesleyan's win probability against Avila is trending down — from 91% to 87% over the last 6 weeks.