Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: American Int'l 88%, Monroe 12% at American Int'l.
American Int'l's win probability against Monroe has swung between 77% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.
American Int'l's win probability against Monroe has swung between 81% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.
American Int'l's win probability against Monroe has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.