Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Hope 60%, Alma 40% at Alma.
Hope's win probability against Alma has swung between 48% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
Hope's win probability against Alma has swung between 55% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
Hope's win probability against Alma has swung between 61% and 71% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 71% now.