Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Air Force 51%, UNLV 49% at Air Force.
Air Force's win probability against UNLV has swung between 35% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 39% now.
Air Force's win probability against UNLV has swung between 41% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Air Force's win probability against UNLV has swung between 47% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.