Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 11 (Nov 8), 2026-27: Air Force 74%, San Jose St 26% at Air Force.
Air Force's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 51% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Air Force's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 57% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Air Force's win probability against San Jose St has swung between 63% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.