Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Wisconsin 53%, Villanova 47% at Wisconsin.
Wisconsin's win probability against Villanova is trending down — from 49% to 40% over the last 6 updates.
Wisconsin's win probability against Villanova is trending down — from 56% to 46% over the last 6 updates.
Wisconsin's win probability against Villanova is trending down — from 62% to 53% over the last 6 updates.