Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Wichita St 83%, Austin Peay 17% at Wichita St.
Wichita St's win probability against Austin Peay has swung between 72% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.
Wichita St's win probability against Austin Peay has swung between 78% and 83% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.
Wichita St's win probability against Austin Peay has held at 83% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.