Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Washington 96%, Norfolk St 4% at Washington.
Washington's win probability against Norfolk St is trending down — from 96% to 92% over the last 6 updates.
Washington's win probability against Norfolk St is trending down — from 97% to 94% over the last 6 updates.
Washington's win probability against Norfolk St has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.