Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Ohio 52%, W Michigan 48% at W Michigan.
Ohio's win probability against W Michigan has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Ohio's win probability against W Michigan has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Ohio's win probability against W Michigan has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.