Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Mercyhurst 77%, W Illinois 23% at a neutral site.
Mercyhurst's win probability against W Illinois is trending down — from 78% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
Mercyhurst's win probability against W Illinois is trending down — from 83% to 77% over the last 6 updates.
Mercyhurst's win probability against W Illinois is trending down — from 87% to 82% over the last 6 updates.