Troy vs Valparaiso Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Valparaiso by 0.09
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Valparaiso
Troy 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
81
B-
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Valparaiso
Troy
| 154 | Overall | 126 |
| 155 | Power | 160 |
| 231 | Offensive | 173 |
| 113 | Defensive | 170 |
| 140 | SoS (Current) | 190 |
| 143 | SoS (Full Season) | 192 |
Valparaiso#15450%
Troy#12650%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Valparaiso 50%, Troy 50% at a neutral site.
Valparaiso's win probability against Troy is trending down — from 47% to 44% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso's win probability against Troy is trending down — from 54% to 50% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso's win probability against Troy is trending down — from 60% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso favored
Troy favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Troy | Neutral | At Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 47% | 54% | 61% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 47% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 45% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 45% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 46% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 45% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 45% | 52% | 59% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 44% | 50% | 57% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Valparaiso
Troy
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
17-15 (53.1%) |
Overall |
20-12 (62.5%) |
|
12-4 (75%) |
Home |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-10 (56.5%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
Troy
| #94 Illinois St | Best Win | #40 San Diego St |
| #357 Southern Indiana | Worst Loss | #264 West Georgia |
| 29 pts vs #281 W Michigan | Largest MOV | 26 pts vs #186 Southern Miss |
| 48 pts vs #33 Kentucky | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #15 Nebraska |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Valparaiso
Troy
| 71.2 | Points per Game | 77.3 |
| 71.9 | Points Against | 74.5 |
| 70.8 | Home PPG | 77.5 |
| 65.6 | Home PA | 68.7 |
| 71.3 | Away PPG | 79.8 |
| 78.5 | Away PA | 80.2 |
| 489-533 | Opponent Record | 515-498 |
| 180 | Avg Opponent Rank | 186.1 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
Troy
| Mar 6 | Bradley (20-13) | L84-90 | Mar 19 | #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L47-76 |
| Mar 5 | Indiana St (9-21) | W63-62 | Mar 9 | Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-61 |
| Feb 28 | at Evansville (5-25) | L79-80 | Mar 8 | Southern Miss (17-16) | W78-70 |
| Feb 25 | vs Drake (12-20) | W74-71 | Feb 27 | vs ULM (2-28) | W80-65 |
| Feb 21 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | W71-67 | Feb 24 | vs Louisiana (11-22) | W78-59 |
| Feb 18 | vs Bradley (20-13) | W79-72 | Feb 21 | at South Alabama (19-12) | L54-65 |
| Feb 15 | vs Indiana St (9-21) | W76-75 | Feb 18 | at ULM (2-28) | W77-76 |
| Feb 12 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L64-86 | Feb 14 | at Southern Miss (17-16) | L65-69 |
| Feb 9 | at Drake (12-20) | W81-76 | Feb 11 | at Texas St (17-13) | L62-74 |
| Feb 6 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W70-63 | Feb 7 | vs Akron (27-6) | W79-69 |