Toledo at Valparaiso Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Valparaiso by 1.1
TOTAL POINTS
149
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Valparaiso
Toledo 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
76
C
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
83
B-
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Valparaiso
Toledo
| 154 | Overall | 145 |
| 155 | Power | 139 |
| 231 | Offensive | 110 |
| 113 | Defensive | 216 |
| 140 | SoS (Current) | 154 |
| 140 | SoS (Full Season) | 154 |
Valparaiso#15453%
Toledo#14547%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Valparaiso 53%, Toledo 47% at Valparaiso.
Valparaiso's win probability against Toledo is trending down — from 42% to 38% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso's win probability against Toledo is trending down — from 49% to 46% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso's win probability against Toledo is trending down — from 56% to 53% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso favored
Toledo favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Toledo | Neutral | At Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 45% | 53% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 42% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 40% | 47% | 55% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 39% | 47% | 54% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 40% | 47% | 55% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 39% | 47% | 54% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 39% | 47% | 54% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 38% | 46% | 53% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Valparaiso
Toledo
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
17-15 (53.1%) |
Overall |
17-15 (53.1%) |
|
12-4 (75%) |
Home |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Away |
5-9 (35.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-14 (33.3%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
Toledo
| #94 Illinois St | Best Win | #125 Troy |
| #357 Southern Indiana | Worst Loss | #197 Massachusetts |
| 29 pts vs #281 W Michigan | Largest MOV | 20 pts vs #214 Buffalo |
| 48 pts vs #33 Kentucky | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #9 Michigan St |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Valparaiso
Toledo
| 71.2 | Points per Game | 79.8 |
| 71.9 | Points Against | 77.4 |
| 70.8 | Home PPG | 82.8 |
| 65.6 | Home PA | 76.5 |
| 71.3 | Away PPG | 78.5 |
| 78.5 | Away PA | 79.1 |
| 489-533 | Opponent Record | 542-439 |
| 180 | Avg Opponent Rank | 178.1 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
Toledo
| Mar 6 | Bradley (20-13) | L84-90 | Mar 14 | Akron (27-6) | L76-79 |
| Mar 5 | Indiana St (9-21) | W63-62 | Mar 13 | Massachusetts (16-16) | W77-67 |
| Feb 28 | at Evansville (5-25) | L79-80 | Mar 12 | Bowling Green (15-14) | W77-76 |
| Feb 25 | vs Drake (12-20) | W74-71 | Mar 6 | vs Buffalo (15-15) | W98-78 |
| Feb 21 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | W71-67 | Mar 3 | at Miami OH (29-2) | L72-74 |
| Feb 18 | vs Bradley (20-13) | W79-72 | Feb 28 | at Ohio (13-17) | W79-67 |
| Feb 15 | vs Indiana St (9-21) | W76-75 | Feb 24 | vs N Illinois (7-21) | W79-69 |
| Feb 12 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L64-86 | Feb 21 | vs E Michigan (9-21) | W94-75 |
| Feb 9 | at Drake (12-20) | W81-76 | Feb 14 | at Bowling Green (15-14) | L70-80 |
| Feb 6 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W70-63 | Feb 11 | at W Michigan (9-20) | W90-79 |