Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UC Davis 83%, Alabama St 17% at UC Davis.
UC Davis' win probability against Alabama St is trending down — from 77% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
UC Davis' win probability against Alabama St is trending down — from 83% to 77% over the last 6 updates.
UC Davis' win probability against Alabama St is trending down — from 87% to 83% over the last 6 updates.