Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UAB 60%, North Texas 40% at UAB.
UAB's win probability against North Texas has held at 47% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UAB's win probability against North Texas has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UAB's win probability against North Texas has held at 60% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.