Texas St at Troy Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 8.98
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Texas St
Troy 
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
81
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
78
C+
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
81
B-
|
RANKINGS
Texas St
Troy
| 188 | Overall | 125 |
| 251 | Power | 166 |
| 280 | Offensive | 172 |
| 199 | Defensive | 176 |
| 251 | SoS (Current) | 171 |
| 251 | SoS (Future) | 171 |
Troy#12577%
Texas St#18823%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Troy 77%, Texas St 23% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against Texas St has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Texas St has held at 69% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Texas St has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Troy favored
Texas St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Texas St | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 1 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 2 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 3 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 5 | 66% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 7 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 8 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 9 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 10 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 11 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 12 | 78% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 13 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 14 | 70% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 15 | 70% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 16 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 17 | 59% | 68% | 77% |
| Wk 18 | 59% | 68% | 77% |
| Wk 19 | 59% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 20 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 21 | 60% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 22 | 60% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 23 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 24 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
RECORDS
Texas St
Troy
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
17-13 (56.7%) |
Overall |
20-12 (62.5%) |
|
14-1 (93.3%) |
Home |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
3-9 (25%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
7-10 (41.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-10 (56.5%) |
|
10-3 (76.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Texas St
Troy
| #125 Troy | Best Win | #40 San Diego St |
| #280 Louisiana | Worst Loss | #264 West Georgia |
| 17 pts vs #261 Old Dominion | Largest MOV | 26 pts vs #186 Southern Miss |
| 35 pts vs #194 Bowling Green | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #15 Nebraska |
OTHER STATISTICS
Texas St
Troy
| 71.9 | Points per Game | 77.3 |
| 72.5 | Points Against | 74.5 |
| 73.3 | Home PPG | 77.5 |
| 66.3 | Home PA | 68.7 |
| 71.3 | Away PPG | 79.8 |
| 79.6 | Away PA | 80.2 |
| 426-508 | Opponent Record | 515-498 |
| 216.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 186.1 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Texas St
Troy
| Mar 6 | Southern Miss (17-16) | L77-81 | Mar 19 | #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L47-76 |
| Feb 27 | vs Appalachian St (17-13) | W60-57 | Mar 9 | Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-61 |
| Feb 21 | at Louisiana (11-22) | L54-67 | Mar 8 | Southern Miss (17-16) | W78-70 |
| Feb 19 | at South Alabama (19-12) | W90-82 | Feb 27 | vs ULM (2-28) | W80-65 |
| Feb 14 | vs ULM (2-28) | W95-84 | Feb 24 | vs Louisiana (11-22) | W78-59 |
| Feb 11 | vs Troy (20-12) | W74-62 | Feb 21 | at South Alabama (19-12) | L54-65 |
| Feb 7 | vs W Michigan (9-20) | W77-61 | Feb 18 | at ULM (2-28) | W77-76 |
| Feb 4 | at Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-71 | Feb 14 | at Southern Miss (17-16) | L65-69 |
| Jan 31 | vs Old Dominion (11-21) | W81-64 | Feb 11 | at Texas St (17-13) | L62-74 |
| Jan 28 | vs Marshall (18-13) | W72-68 | Feb 7 | vs Akron (27-6) | W79-69 |
