South Alabama at Troy Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 4.63
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
South Alabama
Troy 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
84
B
|
Defensive |
81
B-
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
South Alabama
Troy
| 164 | Overall | 126 |
| 198 | Power | 160 |
| 254 | Offensive | 173 |
| 143 | Defensive | 170 |
| 222 | SoS (Current) | 190 |
| 220 | SoS (Full Season) | 192 |
Troy#12662%
South Alabama#16438%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Troy 62%, South Alabama 38% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against South Alabama has held at 49% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against South Alabama has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against South Alabama is trending down — from 65% to 62% over the last 6 updates.
Troy favored
South Alabama favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At South Alabama | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 53% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
South Alabama
Troy
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
19-12 (61.3%) |
Overall |
20-12 (62.5%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
8-7 (53.3%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
9-11 (45%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-10 (56.5%) |
|
10-1 (90.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
South Alabama
Troy
| #125 Troy | Best Win | #40 San Diego St |
| #280 Louisiana | Worst Loss | #264 West Georgia |
| 35 pts vs #359 ULM | Largest MOV | 26 pts vs #186 Southern Miss |
| 26 pts vs #165 ETSU | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #15 Nebraska |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
South Alabama
Troy
| 73.2 | Points per Game | 77.3 |
| 71.3 | Points Against | 74.5 |
| 71.8 | Home PPG | 77.5 |
| 66.3 | Home PA | 68.7 |
| 73.9 | Away PPG | 79.8 |
| 74.7 | Away PA | 80.2 |
| 448-524 | Opponent Record | 515-498 |
| 208.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 186.1 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
South Alabama
Troy
| Mar 17 | at Auburn (22-16) | L67-78 | Mar 19 | #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L47-76 |
| Mar 6 | Ga Southern (19-16) | L85-94 | Mar 9 | Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-61 |
| Feb 27 | vs Southern Miss (17-16) | L55-68 | Mar 8 | Southern Miss (17-16) | W78-70 |
| Feb 25 | vs ULM (2-28) | W89-54 | Feb 27 | vs ULM (2-28) | W80-65 |
| Feb 21 | vs Troy (20-12) | W65-54 | Feb 24 | vs Louisiana (11-22) | W78-59 |
| Feb 19 | vs Texas St (17-13) | L82-90 | Feb 21 | at South Alabama (19-12) | L54-65 |
| Feb 16 | at Marshall (18-13) | L80-84 | Feb 18 | at ULM (2-28) | W77-76 |
| Feb 14 | at Arkansas St (18-12) | W92-88 | Feb 14 | at Southern Miss (17-16) | L65-69 |
| Feb 12 | at Southern Miss (17-16) | W84-78 | Feb 11 | at Texas St (17-13) | L62-74 |
| Feb 7 | vs Buffalo (15-15) | W81-69 | Feb 7 | vs Akron (27-6) | W79-69 |