Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Illinois 55%, Texas Tech 45% at Texas Tech.
Illinois' win probability against Texas Tech has swung between 54% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 55% now.
Illinois' win probability against Texas Tech has swung between 61% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.
Illinois' win probability against Texas Tech has swung between 68% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.