Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
St Francis PA
Belmont
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
61
D-
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
69
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
St Francis PA
6099
Belmont
6099
|
||
|
61
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
St Francis PA
6099
Belmont
6099
|
||
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Future) |
81
B-
|
St Francis PA
Belmont
| 356 | Overall | 70 |
| 352 | Power | 82 |
| 278 | Offensive | 46 |
| 360 | Defensive | 178 |
| 312 | SoS (Current) | 165 |
| 312 | SoS (Future) | 165 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Belmont 98%, St Francis PA 2% at a neutral site.
Belmont's win probability against St Francis PA has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Belmont's win probability against St Francis PA has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Belmont's win probability against St Francis PA has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At St Francis PA | Neutral | At Belmont |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 1 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 2 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 8 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 9 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 10 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 11 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 12 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 13 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 14 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 15 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 16 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 17 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
St Francis PA
Belmont
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
5-24 (17.2%) |
Overall |
25-6 (80.6%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Home |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
2-14 (12.5%) |
Away |
11-3 (78.6%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-10 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
5-14 (26.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
St Francis PA
Belmont
| #314 Wagner | Best Win | #94 Illinois St |
| #349 Chicago St | Worst Loss | #265 Indiana St |
| 21 pts vs #349 Chicago St | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #356 St Francis PA |
| 41 pts vs #8 Florida | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #226 Drake |
St Francis PA
Belmont
| 70 | Points per Game | 83.5 |
| 83.1 | Points Against | 74.1 |
| 73.3 | Home PPG | 85.6 |
| 79 | Home PA | 75.9 |
| 69 | Away PPG | 80.6 |
| 85.8 | Away PA | 71.9 |
| 439-465 | Opponent Record | 468-519 |
| 237.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 183.3 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
St Francis PA
Belmont
| Feb 28 | at Central Conn (16-12) | L64-69 | Mar 6 | Drake (12-20) | L79-100 |
| Feb 26 | at Stonehill (10-21) | L77-103 | Mar 1 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L74-81 |
| Feb 24 | at New Haven (11-17) | W73-67 | Feb 25 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W98-64 |
| Feb 21 | vs Wagner (11-17) | L56-65 | Feb 21 | vs Indiana St (9-21) | W87-70 |
| Feb 19 | vs LIU Brooklyn (24-11) | L89-91 | Feb 15 | at Murray St (20-13) | W87-70 |
| Feb 14 | vs Mercyhurst (15-17) | L79-94 | Feb 12 | vs Northern Iowa (22-13) | W91-86 |
| Feb 12 | at F Dickinson (8-21) | L59-66 | Feb 9 | at Bradley (20-13) | L84-95 |
| Feb 9 | at Chicago St (6-25) | L75-80 | Feb 6 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | W68-62 |
| Feb 7 | at Le Moyne (14-17) | L84-86 | Feb 3 | vs Drake (12-20) | W103-90 |
| Feb 5 | at Mercyhurst (15-17) | L89-98 | Jan 31 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W103-86 |
vs
College Basketball