Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Southern Miss 53%, South Alabama 47% at Southern Miss.
Southern Miss' win probability against South Alabama has held at 40% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Southern Miss' win probability against South Alabama has held at 46% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Southern Miss' win probability against South Alabama has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.