Arkansas St at Southern Miss Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Arkansas St by 1.69
TOTAL POINTS
160
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St 
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
92
A-
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
67
D+
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| 185 | Overall | 144 |
| 221 | Power | 151 |
| 218 | Offensive | 70 |
| 228 | Defensive | 304 |
| 193 | SoS (Current) | 240 |
| 193 | SoS (Full Season) | 237 |
Arkansas St#14455%
Southern Miss#18545%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Arkansas St 55%, Southern Miss 45% at Southern Miss.
Arkansas St's win probability against Southern Miss has held at 55% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Arkansas St's win probability against Southern Miss has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Arkansas St's win probability against Southern Miss has held at 67% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Arkansas St favored
Southern Miss favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Southern Miss | Neutral | At Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
17-16 (51.5%) |
Overall |
18-12 (60%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Home |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
9-11 (45%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-9 (52.6%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| #101 Kent | Best Win | #115 N Dakota St |
| #311 Georgia St | Worst Loss | #311 Georgia St |
| 14 pts vs #359 ULM | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #194 Bowling Green |
| 28 pts vs #96 LSU | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #60 SMU |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| 73.9 | Points per Game | 81.8 |
| 74.8 | Points Against | 78 |
| 72.8 | Home PPG | 82.2 |
| 69.7 | Home PA | 72.5 |
| 72.5 | Away PPG | 81.7 |
| 78.7 | Away PA | 82.4 |
| 501-528 | Opponent Record | 468-474 |
| 197.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 197.8 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| Mar 8 | Troy (20-12) | L70-78 | Mar 5 | Ga Southern (19-16) | L77-80 |
| Mar 7 | Appalachian St (17-13) | W86-73 | Feb 27 | vs Louisiana (11-22) | W81-58 |
| Mar 6 | Texas St (17-13) | W81-77 | Feb 24 | vs Southern Miss (17-16) | W89-84 |
| Mar 5 | James Madison (17-15) | W86-80 | Feb 21 | at ULM (2-28) | W102-94 |
| Feb 27 | at South Alabama (19-12) | W68-55 | Feb 19 | at Louisiana (11-22) | W79-62 |
| Feb 24 | at Arkansas St (18-12) | L84-89 | Feb 14 | vs South Alabama (19-12) | L88-92 |
| Feb 21 | vs Old Dominion (11-21) | W86-81 | Feb 11 | vs ULM (2-28) | W103-70 |
| Feb 14 | vs Troy (20-12) | W69-65 | Feb 7 | vs Bowling Green (15-14) | W91-54 |
| Feb 12 | vs South Alabama (19-12) | L78-84 | Feb 4 | at Coastal Car (18-13) | W70-66 |
| Feb 7 | vs Kent (22-10) | W66-65 | Jan 31 | vs Marshall (18-13) | L61-70 |